Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 396.490103 449.322017 507.625463 576.917613 657.252934 747.728791 857.718059
2026-02-08 315.254104 384.482148 467.590231 575.432227 712.711008 883.011349 1112.427409
2026-02-15 268.058392 343.076901 438.305827 569.434454 747.454958 983.819342 1326.621416
2026-02-22 238.458613 317.295687 422.010854 573.424845 790.336420 1095.408732 1566.950636
2026-03-01 211.651516 290.797336 399.945700 564.372458 810.917155 1175.258357 1770.589603
2026-03-08 191.610371 270.803127 383.710055 560.150438 835.841697 1262.109652 1995.433833
2026-03-15 170.542558 246.823470 358.679070 539.025119 830.989530 1300.516237 2145.685489
2026-03-22 162.322942 240.808667 359.327815 556.813712 888.802762 1445.696768 2498.669110
2026-03-29 156.121454 237.080778 362.788568 578.951800 955.789425 1614.429437 2921.680860
2026-04-05 146.242683 226.560857 354.292752 580.002045 986.155910 1722.182422 3247.513788
2026-04-12 134.936613 212.710617 339.006563 567.583934 990.599673 1782.318962 3488.196990
2026-04-19 125.120543 200.473506 325.261971 556.276354 995.360065 1842.952062 3739.296392
2026-04-26 120.349819 196.473613 325.424511 570.494860 1051.047619 2013.099153 4264.208439
2026-05-03 113.405672 188.198388 317.440006 568.832434 1075.661986 2124.046097 4679.006699
2026-05-10 106.521052 179.455706 307.816997 562.924743 1090.730460 2216.550247 5068.136695
2026-05-17 101.678646 173.948089 303.543693 566.862249 1126.438728 2358.838471 5609.714825
2026-05-24 95.544745 165.631426 293.363721 557.928259 1133.459165 2437.193594 6002.524715
2026-05-31 90.547716 159.044170 285.905623 553.761346 1150.320900 2540.763664 6485.901637
2026-06-07 83.958487 149.029742 271.115906 532.910866 1127.190606 2544.878108 6690.969654
2026-06-14 82.311668 148.271417 274.288156 550.468131 1194.550553 2782.780015 7634.386878
2026-06-21 81.183157 148.414461 279.226743 572.316846 1274.894010 3067.309718 8795.965013
2026-06-28 77.948367 144.197623 275.003917 573.353323 1304.694969 3223.155642 9588.220759
2026-07-05 73.637888 137.564230 265.328542 561.097774 1299.791278 3283.461891 10077.057859